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Majority of Poles expect opposition PiS to win October election

PR dla Zagranicy
Jo Harper 16.09.2015 18:00
A recent opinion poll shows 56 percent of Poles expect opposition Law and Justice (PiS) to win the 25 October general elections in Poland.
Photo: PAP/Jakub KaczmarczykPhoto: PAP/Jakub Kaczmarczyk

Some 11 percent expect ruling Civic Platform (PO) to win, according to the latest CBOS poll.

The overwhelming majority of PiS voters (84 percent), as well as those from the recently formed centre-right party ModernPL (NowoczesnaPL) led by Ryszard Petru (73 percent), the Kukiz Movement (RK) (68 percent), and the United Left (ZL) (63 percent), foresee PiS winning the election.

“Most negative voting motivations come from PO supporters, where more than two out of five people (43 percent) said they plan to vote to prevent PiS from winning,” a CBOS statement reads.

Most indications of tactical voting come from supporters of the ZL, Your Movement (TR), and the Greens, as well as the supporters of RK (35 percent). Junior coalition Polish People's Party (PSL) had the highest percentage of negative voting motivations, according to the poll.

Most Polish voters (61 percent) said they would vote for parties or candidates that match their political views, rather than voting tactically.

According to the poll, interest in the elections has risen ten percent among voters since the 2011 election, up to 61 percent from 51 percent. Of the 61 percent that are interested, 25 percent said they were ‘very interested.’

According to the latest Ipsos poll from 13 September for Poland's public television, TVP, PiS is leading with 35 percent, followed by PO with 24 percent, while RK support is at nine percent and PSL at five percent. This would give PiS an overall majority in the lower house of parliament, or Sejm.

According to the CBOS poll, voter turnout is estimated at 51 percent, with 11 percent of voters undecided. Turn out for the presidential election in May was 48.26 percent of approximately 30 million voters. (ua/jh/rk)

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